Askeo

Playbook

Watch for three alerts. Do the one thing each tells you. That's it.

LAW 1 — Sell the bounce, never hold to settlement

When a good team falls behind it gets cheap; the price often bounces back a little mid-game. We buy low and sell that bounce. We do not wait to see who wins.

How the price works

A price is cents on the dollar, 1¢–99¢. 26¢ = it costs 26 cents to win $1. Buy at 26¢, sell at 31¢, keep the difference — no need to wait for the final score. You sell at the bid Polymarket shows (it can be a cent or two below the alert number — normal).

The three alerts

Dip setup — maybe buy

Means:
a decent team is losing and got cheap — an invitation, not an order.
Do:
if you want in, open Polymarket and buy a small amount. Only a size you're fine losing.

Sell window open — sell now

Means:
the price popped back up. This is your exit; windows can close in under a minute.
Do:
open Polymarket and Sell / Cash Out now. Take the gain. Don't get greedy; don't wait for the result.

Cut — bounce isn't coming — sell now, small loss

Means:
it won't bounce this time; holding will likely go to zero.
Do:
open Polymarket and Sell / Cash Out now, even at a small loss. A small controlled loss beats losing it all. Hardest one to follow — do it anyway.

Why this trigger

What Askeo checks on every price tick

Every tick carries the same inputs: the book mid and best bid, your team's score vs the opponent's, the inning, and the episode's low (trough) plus the price it was flagged at (entry ref). Missing or stale prices are skipped — nothing fires on absent data.

Dip setup — the checks

  • Team is trailing on the scoreboard
  • Mid at or below 30¢ and above 20¢ (a deeper hole is not offered as an entry)
  • Not flagged as a trap by the quality overlay

Sell window — the checks

  • Episode is armed: it cratered to 30¢ or below while trailing
  • Mid is at least 12¢ above the episode low (kills small noise)
  • AND either mid reached 45¢ (absolute band) or 2× the low (relative arm)
  • Fires once per episode — a bounce always beats a stop

No-bounce stop (CUT) — the checks

  • Episode is armed and no sellable bounce happened
  • Mid fell to 12¢ or more below the flagged price
  • OR mid fell 40% below the flagged price
  • OR the game reached inning 8 with no bounce
  • Fires at most once per episode; a fresh crater to 35¢ or below can re-arm a new one

Where your own numbers come from

The alert number is the book mid; you sell at the bid, which can sit a cent or two lower. Open any alert to see its episode path, the low, and the exact parameters that fired it.

Log every trade with a photo

Screenshot both ends, drop them in the Ledger

  1. The moment your buy fills, screenshot the Polymarket confirmation — team, price, shares, stake.
  2. When you sell / cash out (or the position resolves), screenshot that too — exit price and proceeds.
  3. Open the Ledger tab and drop both images in. Askeo reads the numbers off the picture and fills the entry for you; correct anything it misreads.

Two pictures per trade: purchase and resolution. An honest ledger is the only way to see whether you actually followed the SELL and CUT calls.

Rules & first run

Five golden rules

  1. Only bet money you're 100% okay losing. Small amounts, always.
  2. When it says SELL or CUT, do it right away. Waiting is how people lose.
  3. Never “hold and hope.” We sell the bounce; we never wait for the final score.
  4. This is not a guarantee. Most single bets lose — the point is small, survivable losses through discipline, not getting rich quick.
  5. Askeo advises; you decide and tap. It never places a bet or moves a dollar for you.

First time? Do this

  1. Turn notifications ON when asked (and Add to Home Screen so alerts work).
  2. Have the Polymarket app ready and logged in.
  3. Wait for a DIP SETUP, buy small, then do exactly what SELL or CUT says.

The whole loop: Buy small → Sell the bounce → or Cut if it doesn't come.

Advisory tool for regulated U.S. prediction markets. Not financial advice, not a promise of profit. You place every trade yourself. If it stops being fun or costs money you need, stop — 1-800-GAMBLER.